Finally clarity. On Tuesday evening, the British parliament approved Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s strong desire to hold new elections. They are now scheduled for December 12.
Apparently, the Conservative Party of Johnson is ahead. If Johnson succeeds in securing a majority in parliament, he can implement his Brexit deal with the EU unhindered and continue to govern for five years.
A recent poll by bureau Opinium shows that the Conservatives can count on around 40 percent of the votes, preferably 16 percentage points more than Labor, which stands at 24 percent of the votes. The Liberal Democrats, who will actively campaign against the Brexit campaign, come to 15 percent and the Brexit Party of Nigel Farage stands at 10 percent.
Given the nature of the British district system, where the winning candidate drags in one seat per district, a national score of 40 percent for the Conservatives can result in a large majority in seats in the Lower House.
Yet Johnson is taking a big gamble with new elections. The struggle for the favor of the voter can result in a triumph or a painful failure for the Conservatives. In the latter case, it is also possible that the Brexit will not take place at all.
A serious risk for Johnson is that Remain voters who voted for the Conservatives in the previous elections will this time opt for anti-Brexit parties. On the other hand, the Conservatives believe they can win districts that are traditionally known as Labor bastions.
If the Conservatives lose due to a Labor comeback, Labor leader Jeremy Corbyn will most likely be heading for a new referendum on the Brexit. And the polls have given Remain a narrow advantage for a long time when it comes to choosing to stay in the EU.
Where will it be really exciting in the upcoming British elections? And with which strategy do Johnson and Corbyn respectively try to win the win? These are the things to keep in mind.